No Republican presidential candidate in modern history won a larger share of Latino voters than President Donald Trump did in 2024. Edison Research’s national exit poll found Trump took 46 percent of Hispanic voters, up from 32 percent in 2020.
AP VoteCast, a survey of more than 120,000 voters conducted by the National Opinion Research Center (NORC) at the University of Chicago for The Associated Press, put his share at 42 percent, up from 35 percent. A Pew Research Center analysis of validated voters, released in June 2025, estimated Trump won 48 percent, nearly reaching parity with former Vice President Kamala Harris—the 2024 Democratic nominee.
The shift was sharpest among Latino men. Edison Research estimated Trump won 54 percent of Latino men, flipping the group from a 23-point Democratic win in 2020 to a 10-point Republican win in 2024—a 33-point swing….
Will Trump’s 2024 Gains Among Latinos Hold in the Midterms?
