Japanese Lawmakers Visit Taiwan to Discuss ‘Security Issues’

A bipartisan group of Japanese lawmakers visited Taiwan last week to discuss strategic ties between the two countries, sparking a strong reaction from China, analysts say.

The Japanese legislators met with Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te on Aug. 14 and attend a luncheon with Taiwan’s minister of foreign affairs, Lin Chia-lung, the following day. The delegation included Shigeru Ishiba, Japan’s former defense minister and a prospective candidate for prime minister.

Lin, in his remarks at the luncheon, emphasized the “geographical proximity of Taiwan and Japan, their shared values of democracy and freedom, the close ties between their peoples, and the threat of authoritarian expansionism they both face.”

He spoke of the need for the two countries to establish a security dialogue mechanism to facilitate responses to future emergency situations.

On the last day of the visit, Ishiba reaffirmed his intention to run in the next leadership election for Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), scheduled for Sep. 27. He is expected to announce his candidacy this week. 

Ishiba said during the luncheon that Japan and Taiwan should work with the larger democratic community to prevent East Asia from becoming “the Ukraine of tomorrow,” according to a Taiwanese Ministry of Foreign Affairs statement. His recommendations included strengthening deterrence capabilities and jointly maintaining peace and security across East Asia and the Taiwan Strait.

The Japanese delegation also met with Taiwan’s vice president, Hsiao Bi-khim. After the meeting, Ishiba told reporters that in the event of a “contingency in the Taiwan Strait,” Japan and Taiwan will work closely together.

“It is important to make China well aware that even if it were to use force, it would not succeed, or it would pay a very heavy price,” Ishiba said.

Amid a Political Transition

The visit by the Japanese delegation to Taiwan came amid a leadership transition in the LDP, whose current head is Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida.

Kishida announced last week that he will not seek reelection as the leader of the LDP. Since the Japanese Parliament is currently controlled by the LDP, the next leader of the party will assuredly become the next prime minister.

Shen Ming-Shih is director of national security research at Taipei’s Institute for National Defense and Security Research. Shen told The Epoch Times that it is significant that the Japanese delegation cut across party lines.

It was also significant that Ishiba reaffirmed his candidacy for the LDP chairmanship during the Taiwan visit, “which means that he may become the prime minister of Japan after the Japanese parliamentary election,” Shen said.

Ishiba has emerged as the top public choice for prime minister, according to an Aug. 15 survey conducted by Kioicho Strategy Institute, a political consulting group, according to a report by Japanese media Nippon.

Ishiba’s speech on Aug. 15 showed an increasingly close relationship between the two countries, “highlighting the relevance of Taiwan and Japan’s interests,” Shen said.

Prior to 2022, Ishiba took a pro-Chinese stance, according to Shen. Since 2022, however, he has shifted, “mainly due to China’s outward expansion and Xi Jinping’s aggressive intentions,” he said.

Regardless of the election’s outcome, China’s tough foreign policy and its tense relationship with the United States “will allow Japan to adopt a countervailing role to China,” Shen said.

‘Taiwan’s Defense Is Japan’s Defense’

Geo-strategic relations between Taiwan and Japan remained the focus of the delegation’s discussions with Taiwanese officials and political leaders, according to various reports. Lin’s call for the development of a “security dialogue mechanism” highlighted the defense and security context of evolving Taiwan–Japan relations, experts said.

Taiwan’s location is a key part of that context, Grant Newsham, senior fellow at the Center for Security Policy and Japan Forum for Strategic Studies, told The Epoch Times in an email. Taiwan sits astride the sea lanes of the South China Sea, through which a huge percentage of Japan’s trade and energy imports flow, he noted.

“As some Japanese officials and many military officers have said for decades, ‘Taiwan’s defense is Japan’s defense.’ That’s true,” Newsham said.

By controlling Taiwan, China can choke off Japan’s vital lifeline, he noted.

If China’s People’s Liberation Army is stationed in Taiwan, China would be in a position to isolate or even surround Japan. China would then be able to easily expand its military operations into the Pacific, according to Newsham.

“If Taiwan ‘goes under’ … it will shake the foundation of the U.S. military presence in the region and broader American influence—on which Japan is utterly dependent,” he said.

Shen cited the recurring security threat from China faced by Japan, the United States, and Taiwan. The three countries are cooperating because of common interests in geopolitics, global supply chains, and democratic values, he said.

Newsham said he believes that despite Japan’s understanding of the common security threat from China, it has not been able to do what’s necessary to bolster Taiwan.

“Maybe it will in the future, but maybe it will be too late,” he said.

Nonetheless, due to evolving geopolitics, more and more members of Japan’s Congress will visit Taiwan, Shen said.

“China cannot stop this trend,” he said.

Chinese Regime Reacts

The Japanese delegation’s visit to Taiwan didn’t go over well with the Chinese Embassy in Tokyo, which issued a stern warning on Aug. 16 that Japan should be ready to “pay a heavy price” if it interferes with the regime’s plans for Taiwan.

The Chinese regime considers the self-ruled nation of Taiwan a breakaway province and is calling for it to be reunited with the mainland, by force if necessary.

One important lesson can be drawn from Beijing’s response, Newsham said: There is no possible deal with China that would cause “the Chinese communists to back off from their campaign to strangle Taiwan and to dominate the broader Pacific region.”

Shen noted that when Kishida announced that he would no longer run for the chairmanship of the LDP, Lai congratulated him in a social media post and that when Kishida responded to three heads of state including Taiwan, his response “symbolized that Japan regards Taiwan as a country.”

“This is … the main reason why the Chinese Embassy in Japan is angry,” Shen said.

Chinese criticism of visits by Japanese leaders and lawmakers to Taiwan isn’t new and is unsurprising, according to Newsham.

“These complaints are as certain as the sun coming up in the east every morning,” he said.

Almost a year ago, comments by former Japanese Prime Minister Aso Taro at the Ketagalan Forum in Taipei sparked protests from Beijing.

Aso said Japan, the United States, and Taiwan need to show “the resolve to fight” to defend Taiwan against China’s increasing assertiveness.

“There has never been a time like now when Japan, Taiwan, the United States, and like-minded countries need to resolve to put into action a strong deterrence. This is a resolve to fight,” Aso said at the time.

In an official response, a spokesperson for the Chinese Embassy in Tokyo said Aso “got out of his depth and talked nonsense.”

“If some people in Japan insistently link China’s domestic affairs with Japan’s security, it will lead Japan down the wrong path,” the spokesperson said.

According to Newsham, visits of influential Japanese politicians to Taiwan demonstrate Japanese concern over Chinese threats to Taiwan. They also demonstrate a degree of support for a “free Taiwan—as currently exists.”

He highlighted that the Japanese delegation’s visit happened despite the inevitable criticism from the Chinese regime.

“And possible (if not likely) measures to harass Japanese companies operating in China, and perhaps even grabbing more Japanese ‘hostages’ who are living and working in [China],” Newsham said.

That the visit went on despite awareness of those potential risks indicates “a degree of Japanese commitment to Taiwan,” he said.