The US looks set to maintain rather than reduce its military presence in the Asia-Pacific under Donald Trump, given the persistent tensions over Taiwan and the South China Sea, according to analysts at a leading security forum in Beijing.
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As part of a panel discussion at Tsinghua University’s International Security and Strategy Forum on Friday, Sun Yun, director of the Stimson Centre’s China programme, said she did not see that the US would “cede its presence” in the Asia-Pacific.
“[When] we look at the Asia-Pacific, especially [the] West Pacific, where China traditionally sees as this is my neighbourhood … I don’t see that the US will in any way concede or cede its presence in the region,” she said.
“We can argue who’s really responsible for the heated tension in the South China Sea that has [been for] three, four years under the Biden administration. But I don’t see any intention on the US side to cede influence, to cede presence in this region.”
China has claims over almost all of the South China Sea which are contested by various countries. In the past year, the disputes with Manila have escalated into multiple clashes between Chinese and Philippine vessels.
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China has accused the United States of supporting the Philippines in these disputes to undermine regional stability, and US Secretary of State Marco Rubio has been vocal about Washington’s “ironclad” commitment to defending its treaty ally.