Tensions between the U.S. and Iran are reaching a critical moment, with a reported deadline set for 8 PM that could determine whether the conflict escalates further. After renewed strikes on Kharg Island—Iran’s key oil export hub—and growing pressure around the Strait of Hormuz, the situation has moved beyond routine escalation. In this video, we break down what has already happened, why energy infrastructure is at the center of the conflict, and the three most likely scenarios that could unfold in the coming hours. We also examine how Iran’s recent air defense capabilities may have evolved, and what that means for the balance of power going forward.
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