Trump’s budget bill is a debt bomb. Can the ‘Pennsylvania Plan’ defuse it?

With the US Senate voting to move an updated version of US President Donald Trump’s sweeping budget legislation – the “One Big, Beautiful Bill Act” – forward in the legislative process, the controversial bill now comes closer to becoming law.

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It has also brought the country’s mounting debt back into the spotlight. Rife with spending increases, tax cuts and no additional revenue sources to compensate, the bill has been estimated to add US$3.3 trillion to the nation’s debt over the next decade; a deficit that stands at about US$36.2 trillion.

In response to renewed concerns over US debt, a nascent framework on how to rebalance deficits away from foreign holders – the “Pennsylvania Plan” – has also received attention.

Here, we provide an update on the latest developments in the saga of the “One Big, Beautiful Bill” and its relationship to the recommendations made in the “Pennsylvania Plan”.

What is the bill, and how close is it to passage?

The US Senate agreed to hear debate on the bill in a narrow 51–49 decision after a long weekend session, following another close party-line approval from the House of Representatives last month.

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